Detroit Mercy
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 85.7002Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Ohio State B1G (10- 4, 95.7) 3-19 210 A Michigan B1G ( 5- 9, 94.5) 7-11 214 A Hampton CAA ( 0-12, 79.3) 20- 8 221 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.9) 9-15 223 H Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.6) 4-15 307 A Jacksonville ASUN (10- 5, 95.9) 4-18 314 A Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.5) 6-11 321 A Wagner NEC ( 5- 8, 84.3) 8- 9 328 H LIU NEC (11- 4, 89.4) 7- 9 404 A Le Moyne NEC ( 4-11, 85.2) 4- 6 411 H Cleveland State NEC ( 6- 8, 87.8) 10- 8 418 A Mercyhurst NEC ( 2-12, 82.0) 11- 6 425 H VMI NEC ( 7- 7, 87.0) 5-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Ohio State 3-19 -16 -11 0.00
210 A Michigan 7-11 -4 -10 + 3.00
214 A Hampton 20- 8 12 5 1.98
221 H Bellarmine 9-15 -6 -2 -- -4.20
223 H Marquette 4-15 -11 -4 - -2.51
307 A Jacksonville 4-18 -14 -12 0.00
314 A Robert Morris 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.00
321 A Wagner 8- 9 -1 0 -1.07
328 H LIU 7- 9 -2 -2 0.32
404 A Le Moyne 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.16
411 H Cleveland State 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.75
418 A Mercyhurst 11- 6 5 2 + 2.67
425 H VMI 5-14 -9 0 --- -7.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H VMI 5-14 -9 0 --- -7.07 221 H Bellarmine 9-15 -6 -2 -- -4.20 223 H Marquette 4-15 -11 -4 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Michigan 7-11 -4 -10 + 3.00 314 A Robert Morris 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.00 411 H Cleveland State 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.75 418 A Mercyhurst 11- 6 5 2 + 2.67 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ohio State (10- 4, 95.7) 3-19 -4.25 16.35 1.38 1.10 -1.58
3 A Michigan ( 5- 9, 94.5) 7-11 -5.44 15.16 1.38 1.10 -2.24
3 A Hampton ( 0-12, 79.3) 20- 8 -20.60 1.00 1.38 1.10 5.23
3 H Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.9) 9-15 -11.03 9.57 -1.38 1.10 -6.83
3 H Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.6) 4-15 -8.34 12.26 -1.38 1.10 -5.35
3 A Jacksonville (10- 5, 95.9) 4-18 -4.03 16.57 1.38 1.10 -1.46
3 A Robert Morris (14- 3, 91.5) 6-11 -8.42 12.18 1.38 1.10 -3.88
3 A Wagner ( 5- 8, 84.3) 8- 9 -15.64 4.95 1.38 1.10 -7.85
3 H LIU (11- 4, 89.4) 7- 9 -10.51 10.09 -1.38 1.10 -6.54
3 A Le Moyne ( 4-11, 85.2) 4- 6 -14.73 5.87 1.38 1.10 -7.35
3 H Cleveland Stat ( 6- 8, 87.8) 10- 8 -12.07 8.53 -1.38 1.10 15.75
3 A Mercyhurst ( 2-12, 82.0) 11- 6 -17.91 2.69 1.38 1.10 8.95
3 H VMI ( 7- 7, 87.0) 5-14 -12.89 7.71 -1.38 1.10 -7.85
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-21.01
|
winning pts = 29.9243 losing points = -50.9298
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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